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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+4.98vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.58+5.12vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+3.35vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.64vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.28+5.97vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76+0.88vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.74-0.43vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51-0.50vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97-2.85vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.74vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.28-5.71vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-6.34vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.59-5.76vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.45-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.35University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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10.97Jacksonville University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.88Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.57College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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7.5George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.15Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.29Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.66Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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7.24College of Charleston2.590.1%1st Place
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13.4North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
| Allison Price | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 38.6% | 12.2% |
| Marly Isler | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Mackey | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 0.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 1.7% |
| Nancy Hagood | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Eliot Caple | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Kristoffersen | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 8.7% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.