← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.90+5.23vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.97+3.86vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.65vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.99+2.13vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College3.14+0.74vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.28-0.75vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.58+0.08vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston2.59-0.71vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University1.28+1.99vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.76-3.13vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston2.74-4.09vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.89vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University2.51-5.52vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University-0.45-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.23University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
-
5.86Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.13University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
5.74Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
5.25Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
7.08Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
-
7.29College of Charleston2.590.1%1st Place
-
10.99Jacksonville University1.280.0%1st Place
-
6.87Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.91College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.11U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
7.48George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
-
13.41North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Wright | 9.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Eliot Caple | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Allison Price | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 38.6% | 11.5% |
| Marly Isler | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Mackey | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 1.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Kristoffersen | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.