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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.90+5.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+5.94vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+3.07vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+2.86vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28+0.33vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.14-0.25vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.59+0.07vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.45+5.33vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.58-1.53vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-3.79vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.74-4.10vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.28-0.95vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.43vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.58-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.33Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.75Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston2.590.1%1st Place
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13.33North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.21Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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11.05Jacksonville University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.19George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Wright | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Marly Isler | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Eliot Caple | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Kristoffersen | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 10.1% | 78.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 9.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Mackey | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Allison Price | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 36.3% | 14.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 0.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.