← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hannah Hughes 5.1% 4.9% 5.6% 6.3% 6.7% 7.1% 6.4% 7.6% 7.8% 10.3% 10.1% 11.7% 8.5% 1.9%
Eliot Caple 6.8% 8.2% 7.6% 6.3% 7.9% 6.5% 7.8% 7.6% 9.7% 9.6% 9.5% 6.5% 5.6% 0.4%
Melany Johnson 11.7% 11.0% 12.7% 7.4% 10.4% 7.3% 8.4% 7.9% 7.8% 6.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Sarah Mackey 7.0% 8.1% 6.8% 8.5% 7.5% 8.1% 9.4% 8.2% 7.5% 7.9% 7.2% 8.5% 4.8% 0.5%
Marly Isler 6.0% 8.3% 7.5% 8.2% 9.2% 8.2% 6.8% 8.5% 8.8% 7.2% 8.8% 7.5% 4.6% 0.4%
Miranda Bakos 6.7% 6.1% 5.8% 6.0% 7.3% 8.4% 8.2% 7.2% 9.5% 9.3% 9.0% 8.8% 6.9% 0.8%
Dominique Wright 9.7% 10.7% 8.8% 10.3% 6.9% 9.3% 8.1% 9.2% 7.0% 7.3% 5.8% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3%
Megan Yeigh 10.2% 10.3% 10.7% 8.6% 9.1% 7.4% 7.5% 7.8% 6.6% 7.0% 7.2% 4.6% 2.9% 0.1%
Andrea Luna 9.5% 8.1% 8.6% 10.1% 8.1% 9.8% 9.6% 7.6% 8.0% 7.4% 6.1% 4.5% 2.2% 0.4%
Sophie Bermudez 6.1% 5.5% 4.6% 9.3% 8.6% 7.3% 7.0% 7.2% 7.7% 10.2% 8.9% 10.4% 6.5% 0.7%
Nancy Hagood 13.1% 11.3% 12.4% 10.4% 8.6% 9.7% 8.6% 7.2% 6.4% 3.7% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Marissa Golison 5.6% 5.6% 6.1% 6.5% 6.8% 7.7% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 7.3% 9.3% 9.5% 8.1% 1.4%
Allison Price 2.2% 1.4% 2.7% 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 3.1% 4.3% 3.9% 5.5% 7.5% 13.6% 37.2% 11.8%
Katherine Kristoffersen 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 3.6% 8.3% 81.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.