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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.59+6.23vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+2.98vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.58+4.37vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.74+2.88vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.72vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+0.49vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76-0.48vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14-2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-2.87vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-2.51vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-4.82vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.28-0.97vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.45+0.35vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23College of Charleston2.590.1%1st Place
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4.98Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.88College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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6.49University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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6.52Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.6Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.49George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.18Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.03Jacksonville University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.35North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliot Caple | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Mackey | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Marly Isler | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Allison Price | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 38.0% | 11.9% |
| Katherine Kristoffersen | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 10.1% | 79.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.