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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+4.56vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+2.98vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.59+4.33vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.58+3.42vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+1.18vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+0.48vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.74-0.46vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.43vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-1.56vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.76-3.12vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-4.83vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.28-1.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.94vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.45-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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4.98Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.33College of Charleston2.590.1%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.48University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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6.54College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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7.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.44George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.88Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.17Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.99Jacksonville University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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13.41North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 14.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Eliot Caple | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Mackey | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Marly Isler | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Allison Price | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 38.1% | 11.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Kristoffersen | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 9.3% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.