Race 1B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elizabeth Pemberton 7.8% 9.3% 11.2% 9.7% 8.1% 10.1% 9.0% 8.7% 7.6% 5.7% 6.0% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0%
Nikki Medley 8.8% 8.4% 10.2% 8.1% 8.9% 9.1% 8.3% 11.5% 8.0% 5.9% 5.9% 3.8% 2.6% 0.5%
Taylor Ladd 9.8% 9.1% 8.1% 10.3% 7.9% 9.4% 10.0% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 5.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.3%
Katia DaSilva 16.8% 17.5% 13.2% 12.4% 11.8% 8.2% 7.2% 4.8% 3.9% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1%
Sarah Streater 3.1% 3.7% 5.5% 5.0% 6.8% 6.8% 6.5% 6.8% 9.4% 10.3% 9.9% 12.8% 9.4% 4.0%
Amina Brown 11.2% 9.5% 10.5% 11.8% 10.5% 9.2% 8.6% 7.0% 7.2% 4.9% 5.2% 2.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Casey Klingler 14.0% 11.6% 11.9% 11.8% 10.4% 9.3% 7.6% 6.6% 6.3% 5.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Madison Gates 5.6% 6.5% 5.7% 5.4% 7.5% 5.8% 7.7% 7.6% 11.2% 8.7% 8.8% 9.5% 7.8% 2.2%
Anna Huebschmann 3.0% 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 2.7% 4.0% 6.0% 6.9% 8.6% 11.3% 15.9% 18.9% 11.0%
Natalie Butler 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 2.4% 3.1% 3.8% 5.4% 6.9% 11.4% 20.0% 38.7%
Emma Ferris 4.5% 4.1% 4.3% 4.6% 7.3% 7.2% 8.0% 7.1% 8.5% 10.8% 10.5% 11.4% 7.2% 4.5%
Kara Wheeler 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 2.7% 2.3% 2.8% 4.1% 5.9% 8.5% 12.1% 19.7% 34.4%
India Johnstone 6.3% 7.7% 5.3% 7.3% 6.4% 9.1% 10.1% 9.4% 8.0% 9.5% 8.9% 4.3% 5.3% 2.4%
Greer Wattson 6.8% 8.1% 7.8% 7.4% 7.7% 8.9% 8.3% 10.9% 7.4% 9.4% 8.4% 5.2% 3.1% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.