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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.07+2.82vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.06+1.84vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.20+3.48vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03-0.02vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.49+3.62vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.55-0.62vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-2.58vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University0.59+2.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-2.41vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.82-0.52vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-4.69vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.20-0.96vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.45-0.72vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.83-4.44vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.53-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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4.84Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.48Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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4.98Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.62Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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6.38Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.42Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.99Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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13.04University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
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14.28Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.56McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.54Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 21.8% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Taylor | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 12.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Haley | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Conor Fowler | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Rohman | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 9.8% |
| Guttorm Straume | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 7.9% |
| Sam Millham | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 22.6% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 48.2% |
| Justin Cruanes | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
| Sean Willerford | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.