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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.87+2.44vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.14-0.17vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.63+3.91vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.03+0.91vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.83-1.02vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.88+1.62vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.05-1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.86+1.63vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-1.17-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.19+0.29vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-1.80-1.26vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-1.75-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44North Carolina State University0.8714.2%1st Place
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1.83College of Charleston2.1450.1%1st Place
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6.91The Citadel-0.632.2%1st Place
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4.91North Carolina State University-0.037.5%1st Place
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3.98Duke University-0.8311.9%1st Place
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7.62Clemson University-0.882.1%1st Place
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5.43University of North Carolina-0.055.6%1st Place
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9.63University of Georgia-1.861.1%1st Place
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8.02Clemson University-1.171.6%1st Place
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10.29University of Tennessee-2.190.8%1st Place
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9.74University of South Carolina-1.801.1%1st Place
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9.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.840.9%1st Place
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9.54University of North Carolina-1.750.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 14.2% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 50.1% | 28.1% | 14.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Annika Milstien | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 11.9% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bales Brannon | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.2% |
| Myah Frashier | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Katy Woo | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 28.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 17.5% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.