Race 4B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Katia DaSilva 19.5% 17.1% 15.8% 10.0% 9.7% 7.9% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Taylor Ladd 9.9% 10.3% 9.5% 10.4% 7.7% 9.7% 10.0% 7.9% 7.7% 6.1% 5.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Nikki Medley 7.3% 9.4% 9.5% 8.8% 8.8% 9.1% 9.2% 8.1% 8.1% 7.3% 6.8% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
Elizabeth Pemberton 6.5% 10.2% 8.9% 10.0% 9.3% 9.6% 8.6% 9.4% 6.7% 8.3% 5.8% 4.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Amina Brown 9.4% 10.3% 11.6% 10.8% 10.6% 9.9% 8.5% 6.8% 8.2% 5.5% 4.1% 2.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Emma Ferris 4.9% 3.9% 4.8% 5.3% 5.7% 6.3% 8.5% 8.1% 8.9% 9.4% 11.4% 9.9% 8.7% 4.2%
India Johnstone 7.7% 6.4% 7.9% 7.9% 6.8% 9.0% 7.8% 9.6% 7.5% 7.8% 8.7% 8.6% 3.1% 1.2%
Casey Klingler 12.6% 13.9% 9.9% 10.9% 9.7% 9.0% 8.6% 6.0% 7.0% 5.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Sarah Streater 4.8% 3.7% 4.6% 4.1% 6.7% 5.9% 7.2% 7.0% 10.7% 10.6% 12.3% 11.1% 7.3% 4.0%
Anna Huebschmann 2.5% 2.0% 2.6% 2.3% 4.0% 4.3% 4.7% 6.5% 5.3% 9.1% 10.3% 14.4% 17.9% 14.1%
Greer Wattson 7.3% 5.8% 6.6% 8.9% 9.7% 7.5% 8.9% 7.9% 9.0% 9.0% 7.0% 5.7% 5.3% 1.4%
Madison Gates 5.0% 4.5% 5.6% 6.6% 7.5% 7.8% 7.2% 10.3% 8.6% 8.0% 9.2% 8.7% 7.6% 3.4%
Natalie Butler 1.5% 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 4.7% 6.9% 11.7% 20.2% 37.1%
Kara Wheeler 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 2.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 4.1% 5.4% 6.3% 6.0% 11.5% 21.7% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.