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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+3.13vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.21+5.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+2.21vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.99vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.50+4.99vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+1.43vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75-1.13vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.03+0.31vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-3.44vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.73-3.79vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.67-4.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.09-3.80vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.78-1.42vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University0.85-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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7.62University of South Florida2.210.1%1st Place
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5.21Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.99Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.43George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.31Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.21College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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6.44College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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11.58Jacksonville University0.780.0%1st Place
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11.44North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 19.1% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Madison Gates | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 13.6% |
| India Johnstone | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Amina Brown | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nikki Medley | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Natalie Butler | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 20.8% | 37.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.