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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.82vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.21+4.81vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.38+3.33vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+1.26vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.73+0.30vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.67-0.86vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.03+0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-3.42vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-4.73vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.78+0.74vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.09-3.82vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50-3.19vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University0.85-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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7.81University of South Florida2.210.1%1st Place
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7.33George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.3College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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6.14College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.74Jacksonville University0.780.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Naval Academy2.090.1%1st Place
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9.81Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.44North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Katia DaSilva | 19.5% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madison Gates | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| India Johnstone | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Nikki Medley | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Amina Brown | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Butler | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 39.9% |
| Emma Ferris | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 10.4% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 21.8% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.