Race 10B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sarah Streater 4.6% 4.0% 6.4% 5.9% 6.7% 7.4% 8.7% 7.5% 8.6% 10.4% 10.3% 9.0% 6.8% 3.7%
Katia DaSilva 20.3% 18.5% 14.4% 12.4% 9.6% 8.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Taylor Ladd 9.4% 10.3% 10.4% 7.8% 9.3% 9.7% 10.6% 8.8% 8.1% 6.2% 5.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Madison Gates 5.1% 4.9% 6.6% 6.7% 5.8% 8.7% 7.7% 10.5% 8.6% 9.6% 10.1% 8.6% 5.1% 2.0%
Nikki Medley 7.7% 8.8% 8.0% 10.1% 10.1% 10.0% 8.6% 7.9% 9.3% 7.4% 4.9% 5.1% 1.5% 0.6%
Amina Brown 10.3% 11.2% 11.0% 10.8% 11.6% 9.9% 7.9% 8.4% 6.5% 5.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 5.5% 5.1% 7.6% 6.1% 8.1% 6.1% 6.2% 10.5% 9.8% 7.8% 11.2% 7.8% 6.4% 1.8%
Elizabeth Pemberton 10.1% 10.3% 9.1% 10.1% 8.8% 9.0% 9.2% 7.2% 8.7% 7.1% 5.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.1%
Casey Klingler 11.6% 12.3% 11.4% 12.2% 10.0% 10.3% 9.6% 6.6% 6.4% 4.9% 2.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Alex Hitchcock 2.4% 1.6% 1.8% 3.0% 2.1% 3.6% 4.6% 5.8% 6.1% 8.3% 9.8% 14.8% 17.8% 18.3%
Greer Wattson 7.7% 7.0% 7.3% 8.2% 9.1% 7.5% 10.2% 9.8% 8.3% 8.7% 6.6% 5.8% 2.9% 0.9%
Kara Wheeler 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 3.7% 3.4% 7.6% 9.4% 12.9% 20.7% 29.6%
Anna Huebschmann 3.1% 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 4.0% 3.8% 5.7% 5.5% 8.1% 9.6% 12.3% 14.7% 12.9% 10.6%
Natalie Butler 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 1.7% 2.7% 2.7% 1.9% 3.7% 6.4% 5.7% 8.2% 10.2% 21.1% 31.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.