Race 11B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elizabeth Pemberton 7.8% 9.8% 10.7% 9.8% 8.5% 9.0% 9.1% 8.8% 7.7% 7.0% 4.2% 4.4% 2.4% 0.8%
Casey Klingler 13.8% 11.6% 12.6% 9.3% 11.7% 8.9% 10.4% 6.8% 5.3% 4.1% 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Katia DaSilva 19.3% 16.8% 13.2% 13.2% 10.3% 7.3% 7.2% 4.6% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Amina Brown 10.5% 10.5% 11.3% 10.2% 10.9% 9.7% 8.7% 7.2% 5.8% 6.2% 5.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Nikki Medley 6.9% 7.6% 8.0% 9.9% 9.8% 9.5% 8.2% 9.4% 6.7% 8.0% 7.2% 5.5% 2.4% 0.9%
Taylor Ladd 9.1% 7.3% 8.7% 11.3% 8.3% 10.6% 6.6% 9.9% 8.4% 6.7% 6.1% 4.1% 2.6% 0.3%
Madison Gates 5.6% 6.1% 7.4% 6.3% 7.1% 6.6% 8.8% 7.7% 9.2% 9.2% 10.1% 8.7% 4.8% 2.4%
Greer Wattson 7.0% 8.8% 7.4% 6.5% 8.7% 7.2% 8.3% 9.8% 8.8% 6.9% 7.8% 7.3% 4.4% 1.1%
Anna Huebschmann 3.1% 2.4% 2.7% 2.3% 3.8% 3.6% 3.5% 6.1% 7.4% 8.4% 10.7% 17.4% 15.6% 13.0%
Emma Ferris 4.2% 4.9% 4.0% 5.3% 6.0% 7.0% 6.7% 8.0% 10.7% 9.4% 10.0% 11.4% 8.2% 4.2%
Sarah Streater 4.5% 4.4% 4.1% 5.6% 4.8% 8.2% 7.1% 6.8% 8.6% 10.8% 11.4% 9.4% 9.1% 5.2%
Kara Wheeler 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 3.6% 3.2% 6.1% 7.6% 11.7% 22.9% 32.8%
India Johnstone 6.4% 7.1% 6.6% 6.4% 6.5% 8.9% 9.8% 8.4% 9.2% 9.9% 7.7% 6.4% 4.5% 2.2%
Natalie Butler 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 1.6% 1.4% 3.4% 2.9% 4.6% 5.1% 8.2% 9.1% 21.2% 36.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.