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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+4.14vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.21+5.59vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+3.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.46+0.19vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.73+1.35vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96-1.73vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.09+0.10vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.78+2.69vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+0.07vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.03-2.52vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.85-0.47vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.15vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.67-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida2.210.1%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.19Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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6.35College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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7.38George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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11.69Jacksonville University0.780.0%1st Place
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10.07Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.48Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.53North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.25College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Madison Gates | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Katia DaSilva | 17.9% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| India Johnstone | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Amina Brown | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma Ferris | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Natalie Butler | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 23.1% | 36.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 13.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 20.6% | 34.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Nikki Medley | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.