← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.14+0.87vs Predicted
-
2Duke University-0.83+1.97vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.03+2.02vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.87-0.60vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel-0.63+1.90vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University-0.88+1.66vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina-1.80+2.75vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina-0.05-2.53vs Predicted
-
9Clemson University-1.17-1.04vs Predicted
-
10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84-0.46vs Predicted
-
11University of Tennessee-2.19-0.66vs Predicted
-
12University of Georgia-1.86-2.39vs Predicted
-
13University of North Carolina-1.75-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.87College of Charleston2.1450.7%1st Place
-
3.97Duke University-0.8310.5%1st Place
-
5.02North Carolina State University-0.036.7%1st Place
-
3.4North Carolina State University0.8715.2%1st Place
-
6.9The Citadel-0.633.1%1st Place
-
7.66Clemson University-0.881.9%1st Place
-
9.75University of South Carolina-1.801.1%1st Place
-
5.47University of North Carolina-0.055.3%1st Place
-
7.96Clemson University-1.171.8%1st Place
-
9.54University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.840.9%1st Place
-
10.34University of Tennessee-2.190.9%1st Place
-
9.61University of Georgia-1.860.9%1st Place
-
9.51University of North Carolina-1.750.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 50.7% | 26.2% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 10.5% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 15.2% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 18.4% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Myah Frashier | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 15.2% |
| Katy Woo | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 27.6% |
| Bales Brannon | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 16.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.