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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.03+3.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+1.73vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.06+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.07+0.95vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.82+6.62vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81-0.36vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.53+2.47vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.90+0.18vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University1.49+0.53vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy2.20-3.57vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University0.59+0.06vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-4.47vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.55-7.76vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.45-0.72vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.20-2.90vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.83-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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4.82Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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11.62Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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5.64Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.47Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.53Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.43Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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12.06Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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6.24Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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14.28Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
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13.1University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
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11.53McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Towill | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 21.5% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 13.5% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Taylor | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 6.9% |
| James Rohman | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Sam Millham | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Molly Haley | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| John Joseph | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 11.6% |
| Guttorm Straume | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 47.6% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 22.0% | 22.8% |
| Justin Cruanes | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.