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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+3.13vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+3.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.21+3.87vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.03vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.03+2.48vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.380.00vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.73-1.86vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.09-0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-4.45vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.50-1.04vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.85-0.43vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.78-1.44vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.67-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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5.94Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.25Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.87University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.48Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.0George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.14College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Naval Academy2.090.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.96Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.57North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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11.56Jacksonville University0.780.0%1st Place
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6.24College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 18.1% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Madison Gates | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| India Johnstone | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Ferris | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Amina Brown | 11.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 12.6% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 34.6% |
| Natalie Butler | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 20.4% | 36.5% |
| Nikki Medley | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.