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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.03+3.86vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.14-0.21vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.05+2.37vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.87-0.61vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.83-1.11vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.88+1.36vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.63-0.29vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.17-0.30vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.80+0.22vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.86-0.93vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-1.75-2.09vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee-2.19-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86North Carolina State University-0.036.9%1st Place
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1.79College of Charleston2.1452.0%1st Place
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5.37University of North Carolina-0.055.5%1st Place
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3.39North Carolina State University0.8714.4%1st Place
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3.89Duke University-0.8310.8%1st Place
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7.36Clemson University-0.882.4%1st Place
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6.71The Citadel-0.632.7%1st Place
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7.7Clemson University-1.171.7%1st Place
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9.22University of South Carolina-1.800.9%1st Place
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9.07University of Georgia-1.861.0%1st Place
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8.91University of North Carolina-1.751.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Tennessee-2.190.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Milstien | 6.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Thomson | 52.0% | 27.2% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.5% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Brelage | 14.4% | 21.8% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 10.8% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Camden Hom | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Myah Frashier | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 20.1% |
| Bales Brannon | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 16.7% |
| Katy Woo | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.