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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.76vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.85vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.85vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.81+0.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-3.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-4.20vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-5.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-4.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.06-1.92vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.52-4.16vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-6.85vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.71-6.90vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University1.14-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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3.39Stanford University3.700.2%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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5.85California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.85California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.85California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.96University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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5.53Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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11.08University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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9.1University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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10.71Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 23.7% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 18.2% | 30.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 24.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.