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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.80vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+3.63vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.80vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52+1.88vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.47-2.39vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands2.77-4.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-5.89vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.80vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-6.12vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.81-5.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine1.06-4.00vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University1.14-5.28vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.71-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.8California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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3.4Stanford University3.700.2%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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5.8California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.54Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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5.8California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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8.96University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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10.72Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.07University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 24.9% | 20.5% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 26.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.