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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+6.57vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.75vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+0.43vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47+2.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.06+6.02vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.83vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands2.77-2.25vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.52+0.52vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands2.77-4.25vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-5.43vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University1.14-1.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego1.81-3.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-5.76vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-9.84vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.71-6.87vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-10.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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5.75California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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3.43Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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6.92University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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11.02University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.75California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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5.75California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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5.75California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.57Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.84Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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6.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 25.2% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 18.6% | 30.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 10.4% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 27.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.