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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.06+3.75vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+6.50vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.07+0.94vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+0.60vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.49+3.66vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90+1.37vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.59+4.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.82+2.43vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.52-6.24vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.53-1.62vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.55-5.64vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.20+0.04vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy2.20-6.75vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.45-0.63vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.83-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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4.97Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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5.6Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.66Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.05Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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11.43Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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3.76Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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9.38Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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13.04University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
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7.25Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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14.37Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.56McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decesar | 12.3% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guttorm Straume | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ian Towill | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Taylor | 13.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Haley | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Sam Millham | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 10.2% |
| Matthew Wood | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 6.7% |
| Willem Sandberg | 19.4% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 23.4% | 20.8% |
| John Joseph | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 52.2% |
| Justin Cruanes | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.