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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.87+2.31vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.03+2.85vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.14-1.15vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.63+2.62vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.83-1.11vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.05-0.64vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-1.17+0.74vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-1.75+1.09vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.88-1.67vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.86-0.92vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-1.80-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee-2.19-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31North Carolina State University0.8716.1%1st Place
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4.85North Carolina State University-0.037.0%1st Place
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1.85College of Charleston2.1449.6%1st Place
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6.62The Citadel-0.632.4%1st Place
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3.89Duke University-0.8312.2%1st Place
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5.36University of North Carolina-0.055.2%1st Place
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7.74Clemson University-1.172.1%1st Place
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9.09University of North Carolina-1.751.1%1st Place
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7.33Clemson University-0.881.9%1st Place
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9.08University of Georgia-1.861.0%1st Place
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9.23University of South Carolina-1.800.9%1st Place
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9.63University of Tennessee-2.190.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 16.1% | 22.9% | 19.4% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Thomson | 49.6% | 27.9% | 13.7% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Ringel | 12.2% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Myah Frashier | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Bales Brannon | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 21.4% |
| Katy Woo | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.