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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.83vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+1.37vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.83vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+4.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.71+2.34vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands2.77-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-1.62vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University1.14+0.64vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-5.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.06-0.90vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands2.77-7.17vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.52-4.15vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.47-8.13vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego1.81-7.18vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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3.37Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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5.83California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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5.83California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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10.64Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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5.7Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.83California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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6.87University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.82University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 26.4% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 10.9% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 26.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 29.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.