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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+2.48vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.81+5.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+3.68vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.47-2.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-4.85vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands2.77-5.31vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.71-2.71vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90-7.37vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University1.14-3.12vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine1.06-4.11vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.52-6.31vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands2.77-11.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Stanford University3.700.2%1st Place
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5.69California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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8.92University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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5.69California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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5.69California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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5.63Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.88Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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5.69California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 23.2% | 21.5% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 27.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 30.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.