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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+6.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+4.54vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.81+5.93vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.71+3.31vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.70-3.64vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.90-2.46vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.52+0.82vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-3.82vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.47-4.08vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands2.77-6.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-4.88vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands2.77-8.00vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University1.14-4.29vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine1.06-5.14vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands2.77-11.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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8.93University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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6.0California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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3.36Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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5.54Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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6.0California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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6.0California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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10.71Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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6.0California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 25.5% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 25.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 28.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.