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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+2.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+3.86vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.92vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+2.72vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.81+2.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.52vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands2.77-3.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-4.92vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.70vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands2.77-6.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-4.81vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.52-4.19vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University1.14-4.12vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine1.06-5.11vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California2.47-10.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Stanford University3.700.2%1st Place
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5.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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5.92California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.92California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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5.67Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.03University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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5.92California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.08University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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5.92California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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10.88Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 25.0% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 26.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 28.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.