Race 1A

long-beach-black-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Neil Stapleton 42.6% 29.1% 16.9% 7.5% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Wong 17.0% 23.6% 24.1% 18.0% 10.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Alan Simonini 4.5% 5.6% 9.7% 15.3% 19.2% 19.7% 17.2% 7.9% 0.9%
Chad Hardgrove 2.1% 2.6% 5.2% 7.8% 12.7% 17.9% 24.6% 17.1% 10.0%
Hollis Barth 4.4% 8.1% 11.4% 13.9% 18.5% 17.9% 15.0% 9.0% 1.8%
Joseph Elvig 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 3.7% 4.9% 7.7% 14.3% 31.2% 35.0%
Olivia Gebelein 4.7% 5.5% 6.4% 14.5% 18.9% 22.3% 16.3% 9.7% 1.7%
Conor McGee 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 2.6% 2.9% 6.1% 10.6% 24.2% 50.5%
Tristram Craig 22.9% 23.7% 23.6% 16.7% 9.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.