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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.85+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+0.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.44-0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33-1.15vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.10+1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.88-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.78-1.72vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.83-2.42vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.11-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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2.11University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.4%1st Place
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2.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.2%1st Place
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2.85University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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6.26Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Southern California0.880.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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7.58Arizona State University-0.830.0%1st Place
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7.89Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollis Barth | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 7.7% | 1.2% |
| Neil Stapleton | 38.9% | 29.4% | 18.6% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 22.7% | 24.3% | 24.4% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 21.7% | 22.4% | 25.7% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 22.6% | 19.8% | 10.4% |
| Alan Simonini | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Elvig | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 32.6% | 35.3% |
| Conor McGee | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 25.0% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.