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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.06+3.88vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.03+3.05vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+2.70vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.20+3.59vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00+0.21vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.83+5.60vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.82+3.64vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University1.49+0.58vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.07-4.98vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.67-7.40vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.53-2.52vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.59-0.86vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.20-0.92vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.90-6.71vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.45-1.62vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.7Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.59Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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5.21Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.6McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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11.64Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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9.58Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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3.6Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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9.48Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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12.14Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.08University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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14.38Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decesar | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cruanes | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 8.2% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 7.8% |
| Molly Haley | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Max Taylor | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 20.5% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.1% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 22.8% | 20.1% |
| Sam Millham | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 19.3% | 49.7% |
| Guttorm Straume | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.