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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.03+3.86vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.14-0.19vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.83+0.89vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.87-0.60vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.05+0.49vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.63+0.62vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.88+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.80+1.28vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-1.17-1.36vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-1.75-1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.86-1.96vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee-2.19-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86North Carolina State University-0.037.0%1st Place
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1.81College of Charleston2.1451.9%1st Place
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3.89Duke University-0.8311.5%1st Place
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3.4North Carolina State University0.8714.6%1st Place
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5.49University of North Carolina-0.054.8%1st Place
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6.62The Citadel-0.632.6%1st Place
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7.24Clemson University-0.882.5%1st Place
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9.28University of South Carolina-1.800.9%1st Place
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7.64Clemson University-1.172.1%1st Place
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8.96University of North Carolina-1.750.9%1st Place
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9.04University of Georgia-1.860.9%1st Place
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9.78University of Tennessee-2.190.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Milstien | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Thomson | 51.9% | 26.2% | 14.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 11.5% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 14.6% | 22.3% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Camden Hom | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 21.9% |
| Myah Frashier | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 4.9% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 18.1% |
| Bales Brannon | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 18.3% |
| Katy Woo | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.