Race 6A

long-beach-black-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Neil Stapleton 43.8% 27.4% 16.6% 8.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alan Simonini 2.9% 5.3% 7.9% 15.6% 21.6% 18.7% 16.5% 9.1% 2.4%
Olivia Gebelein 4.0% 6.0% 8.3% 14.3% 19.3% 20.0% 17.6% 8.9% 1.6%
Peter Wong 20.5% 24.1% 25.5% 16.3% 8.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Conor McGee 0.5% 1.2% 0.7% 2.9% 4.7% 7.6% 10.8% 25.9% 45.7%
Hollis Barth 4.6% 5.6% 10.0% 14.4% 19.2% 23.3% 15.6% 5.5% 1.8%
Tristram Craig 20.6% 26.5% 23.7% 17.0% 8.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Chad Hardgrove 2.1% 2.5% 5.5% 8.3% 10.4% 15.7% 23.8% 21.4% 10.3%
Joseph Elvig 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 3.1% 5.0% 6.7% 13.9% 28.9% 38.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.