Race 10A

long-beach-black-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tristram Craig 22.0% 25.3% 22.9% 16.8% 7.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Olivia Gebelein 3.1% 3.7% 8.0% 13.3% 19.6% 20.7% 18.5% 9.5% 3.6%
Peter Wong 20.1% 22.2% 25.1% 17.5% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Neil Stapleton 43.2% 30.5% 17.0% 6.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Chad Hardgrove 1.7% 3.3% 4.8% 9.3% 13.1% 13.3% 24.5% 18.9% 11.1%
Hollis Barth 4.1% 5.9% 9.3% 15.6% 19.4% 20.5% 17.5% 6.0% 1.7%
Alan Simonini 4.3% 6.4% 9.0% 14.9% 19.9% 22.5% 14.1% 7.6% 1.3%
Ryan Henry 0.8% 1.5% 2.4% 3.5% 5.7% 8.3% 13.9% 33.7% 30.2%
Conor McGee 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 2.5% 6.3% 9.3% 23.9% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.