Race 12A

long-beach-black-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Chad Hardgrove 3.0% 2.8% 2.9% 7.4% 11.5% 16.8% 23.9% 22.6% 9.1%
Tristram Craig 16.8% 25.9% 25.8% 16.9% 8.6% 4.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Wong 21.1% 21.8% 23.9% 16.9% 11.0% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Neil Stapleton 44.8% 28.5% 16.4% 7.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hollis Barth 4.4% 6.5% 11.2% 15.3% 19.6% 16.8% 15.7% 8.3% 2.2%
Olivia Gebelein 3.7% 5.8% 8.2% 12.7% 20.0% 21.0% 18.1% 8.3% 2.2%
Alan Simonini 4.3% 6.3% 7.7% 17.6% 17.8% 21.1% 15.8% 7.6% 1.8%
Conor McGee 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 2.6% 3.4% 5.9% 9.9% 22.1% 52.9%
Ryan Henry 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 3.3% 5.6% 9.2% 14.3% 30.8% 31.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.