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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eliot Caple 45.3% 26.5% 13.2% 9.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 12.6% 17.3% 19.9% 15.4% 13.9% 12.1% 5.5% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0%
David Rogers 13.2% 14.9% 18.5% 17.8% 16.7% 10.2% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 10.8% 17.1% 17.3% 19.1% 14.3% 11.3% 7.0% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Cassie Todd 6.7% 9.1% 9.8% 12.7% 17.1% 17.3% 15.8% 8.5% 2.6% 0.4%
Patrick Kopiwoda 4.7% 5.7% 7.0% 8.2% 10.8% 15.5% 19.7% 18.3% 8.7% 1.4%
Joshua Kim 3.5% 4.9% 9.1% 10.9% 12.4% 16.8% 21.1% 15.0% 5.4% 0.9%
Matthew Weber 2.2% 3.0% 4.2% 4.4% 8.5% 10.0% 14.7% 31.2% 17.0% 4.8%
Paige Gainey 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 2.9% 4.7% 8.7% 32.9% 46.8%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.3% 4.5% 10.7% 32.2% 45.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.