Race 2A

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eliot Caple 44.7% 27.1% 14.9% 8.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
David Rogers 13.0% 16.9% 17.7% 17.2% 14.4% 11.3% 6.3% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
John Reddaway 13.2% 14.8% 18.6% 18.6% 15.0% 10.6% 6.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Joshua Kim 3.4% 5.6% 8.7% 9.8% 12.6% 17.2% 21.1% 16.1% 5.1% 0.4%
Paige Gainey 0.4% 1.2% 0.9% 1.4% 0.9% 2.8% 5.4% 9.6% 30.0% 47.4%
Patrick Kopiwoda 5.1% 5.7% 6.3% 7.9% 12.0% 15.6% 19.4% 19.5% 6.7% 1.8%
Cassie Todd 6.1% 7.5% 11.9% 12.6% 18.4% 15.2% 14.9% 10.1% 3.1% 0.2%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 12.0% 17.4% 16.2% 17.9% 14.7% 11.8% 6.5% 3.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 4.2% 10.2% 32.9% 45.5%
Matthew Weber 1.6% 3.2% 3.8% 5.0% 7.8% 11.8% 14.9% 26.1% 21.2% 4.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.