← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
11.82+2.95vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.71+2.62vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.86+3.03vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.31+1.20vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University2.27-1.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington1.15-0.62vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.50vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-3.68vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.951.8216.2%1st Place
-
4.62University of Southern California1.7111.6%1st Place
-
6.03University of California at Berkeley0.865.6%1st Place
-
5.2University of Hawaii1.318.1%1st Place
-
3.15San Diego State University2.2723.5%1st Place
-
5.38University of Washington1.158.1%1st Place
-
4.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.6712.2%1st Place
-
4.32California Poly Maritime Academy1.9213.1%1st Place
-
7.84University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Sih | 16.2% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 3.2% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 22.1% | 14.3% |
| Everett McAvoy | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 23.5% | 20.8% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Nairn | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 7.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Rigel Mummers | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.