Race 3A

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eliot Caple 39.7% 24.1% 15.5% 10.0% 6.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Edwin Strong 14.1% 18.2% 17.4% 13.6% 15.3% 10.4% 5.5% 4.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Patrick Kopiwoda 3.0% 4.0% 5.4% 6.6% 6.4% 10.5% 17.0% 22.5% 20.0% 4.6%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 9.3% 12.2% 14.5% 16.4% 14.5% 14.5% 9.1% 7.3% 2.0% 0.2%
John Reddaway 12.3% 12.6% 14.2% 16.2% 16.9% 12.3% 8.0% 5.0% 2.2% 0.3%
Cassie Todd 6.3% 6.6% 8.7% 9.0% 11.4% 15.6% 16.0% 16.5% 8.8% 1.1%
David Rogers 9.8% 14.5% 15.2% 15.3% 15.3% 12.1% 11.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Joshua Kim 3.6% 4.8% 6.7% 7.6% 9.0% 12.0% 18.3% 19.0% 16.2% 2.8%
Matthew Weber 1.6% 2.5% 2.0% 4.8% 4.0% 6.6% 11.4% 16.2% 37.3% 13.6%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 2.8% 2.3% 4.0% 11.4% 76.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.