Race 4A

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Patrick Kopiwoda 4.1% 4.6% 4.4% 7.0% 8.6% 11.1% 15.2% 20.0% 20.0% 5.0%
Eliot Caple 38.7% 24.3% 17.0% 11.0% 5.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Weber 1.7% 2.7% 2.3% 3.9% 4.3% 6.6% 9.1% 18.1% 37.4% 13.9%
David Rogers 10.0% 13.3% 16.5% 14.3% 14.1% 13.4% 10.7% 4.9% 2.7% 0.1%
Edwin Strong 14.8% 16.2% 17.5% 16.3% 14.1% 9.6% 7.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0%
John Reddaway 12.2% 13.0% 14.8% 14.7% 14.2% 13.2% 10.5% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 8.9% 14.2% 13.5% 13.3% 15.8% 14.6% 11.2% 5.8% 2.6% 0.1%
Joshua Kim 3.6% 4.8% 6.7% 8.5% 8.8% 11.4% 16.8% 21.8% 15.0% 2.6%
Cassie Todd 5.6% 6.7% 6.6% 10.8% 13.4% 15.1% 16.4% 15.0% 8.6% 1.8%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.2% 1.4% 2.5% 2.1% 5.0% 11.2% 76.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.