← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sarah Mackey 54.2% 26.6% 12.0% 5.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 13.5% 22.4% 25.2% 19.7% 13.6% 4.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kailey Savacool 10.6% 14.1% 18.8% 26.0% 19.5% 7.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 14.4% 26.0% 26.6% 19.8% 7.8% 4.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tanner Zelman 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 3.7% 6.7% 12.0% 17.8% 36.5% 16.9% 1.8%
Katherine Kristoffersen 3.1% 3.9% 5.6% 9.7% 16.7% 23.4% 23.0% 11.1% 3.4% 0.1%
Kaylee Lane 1.5% 2.4% 5.5% 9.3% 19.3% 23.0% 24.0% 12.6% 2.3% 0.1%
Scott Claudon 1.3% 2.2% 4.1% 5.6% 12.9% 19.9% 23.6% 22.9% 7.2% 0.3%
Mark Schneider 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 2.1% 4.2% 6.6% 14.1% 61.7% 9.4%
Morgan Firing 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 2.1% 8.4% 88.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.