← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University3.06+3.92vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.03+3.03vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+5.71vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.00+1.31vs Predicted
-
5Maine Maritime Academy2.20+2.57vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.67-2.41vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University1.49+2.69vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont3.07-3.09vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College1.53+0.45vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.81-4.25vs Predicted
-
11McGill University0.83+0.46vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University1.90-3.58vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire0.20+0.05vs Predicted
-
14Brandeis University0.59-1.91vs Predicted
-
15Bentley University-0.45-0.59vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University0.82-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.92Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
-
5.03Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
-
8.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
-
5.31Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
-
7.57Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
-
3.59Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
-
9.69Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
-
4.91University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
-
9.45Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
-
5.75Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
11.46McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
-
8.42Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
-
13.05University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
-
12.09Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
-
14.41Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
-
11.64Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decesar | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guttorm Straume | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 22.0% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Haley | 2.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Max Taylor | 12.5% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| James Rohman | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cruanes | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 6.3% |
| Sam Millham | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 23.3% | 19.9% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 11.5% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 51.7% |
| Matthew Wood | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.