← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.05+2.66vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.07+0.22vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley-0.22+2.62vs Predicted
-
4Arizona State University-0.39+2.48vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-1.61vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.11-1.26vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California0.90-3.43vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.66University of Hawaii1.0514.4%1st Place
-
2.22Stanford University2.0738.7%1st Place
-
5.62University of California at Berkeley-0.223.7%1st Place
-
6.48Arizona State University-0.392.2%1st Place
-
3.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.0816.8%1st Place
-
4.74University of Washington0.117.0%1st Place
-
3.57University of Southern California0.9014.1%1st Place
-
6.32University of California at San Diego-0.703.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 14.4% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 38.7% | 26.9% | 17.6% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 22.7% | 17.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 15.5% | 25.1% | 37.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 16.8% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Sammy Farkas | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 6.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 14.1% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 23.9% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.