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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.82+3.04vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University2.27+1.18vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.15+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.52vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.31-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.71-2.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.86-1.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.041.8215.2%1st Place
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3.18San Diego State University2.2723.4%1st Place
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4.29California Poly Maritime Academy1.9215.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Washington1.156.5%1st Place
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4.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.6712.5%1st Place
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5.21University of Hawaii1.319.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Southern California1.7111.5%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Berkeley0.864.9%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Sih | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 23.4% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 15.2% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Oliver Nairn | 6.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 7.5% |
| Henry Boeger | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Everett McAvoy | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 7.6% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Carsten Zieger | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 23.0% | 15.3% |
| Rigel Mummers | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.