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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+3.43vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.50+3.54vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.87+4.46vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.27+2.00vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.39+5.92vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.23+2.27vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-4.38vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.80+1.66vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-4.37vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.10+2.37vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.82-4.30vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.16-0.63vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.27-5.04vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.05-2.13vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.81-0.98vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.32-3.11vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology-2.32-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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5.54Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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6.0Old Dominion University2.270.1%1st Place
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5.17SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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11.92University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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9.27SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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3.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.2%1st Place
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10.66Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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5.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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13.37William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.7Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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12.37University of Virginia0.160.0%1st Place
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8.96Drexel University1.270.0%1st Place
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12.87Columbia University0.050.0%1st Place
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15.02Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.89U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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17.11Stevens Institute of Technology-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bates | 14.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Bankert | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 13.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| James Keegan | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Tara | 20.7% | 20.7% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 4.3% |
| Anders Hudson | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Firth | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| John M. Joyce | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Fagundo | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 1.6% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 30.2% | 12.8% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Bloomgren | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 11.8% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.