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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.53+8.43vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.03+3.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+2.18vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+4.85vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.20+2.60vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.06-0.91vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University1.49+2.73vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.67-4.54vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90-0.66vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.07-4.94vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University0.59+1.04vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.83-0.49vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.20-0.93vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.82-3.51vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.45-1.65vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.81-11.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.43Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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5.05Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.18Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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7.6Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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5.09Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.73Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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3.46Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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12.04Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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11.51McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.07University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
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11.49Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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14.35Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
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5.74Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Willerford | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Ian Towill | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guttorm Straume | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| John Joseph | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eric Decesar | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Haley | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Ben Weigel | 24.0% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Millham | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Max Taylor | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 10.4% |
| Justin Cruanes | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 7.1% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 22.1% | 20.4% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 18.6% | 50.1% |
| James Rohman | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.