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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.07+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+0.58vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.11-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-3.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Stanford University2.0741.4%1st Place
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3.54University of Southern California0.9014.8%1st Place
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3.58University of Hawaii1.0514.4%1st Place
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6.4Arizona State University-0.392.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Washington0.115.8%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Berkeley-0.224.0%1st Place
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3.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.0815.4%1st Place
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6.49University of California at San Diego-0.702.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 41.4% | 25.9% | 18.1% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 14.8% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 14.4% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 25.5% | 35.3% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 20.9% | 13.2% | 6.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 22.3% | 18.6% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 15.4% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 25.4% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.