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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+3.42vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.57vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.87+4.49vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.39+7.77vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.50+0.38vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-2.34vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.27+2.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-0.32+5.75vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.27-2.93vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.65vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.16+1.62vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.23-2.47vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology-2.32+4.17vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.82-6.71vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.80-4.33vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.81-0.99vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-0.10-3.65vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.05-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.2%1st Place
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5.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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5.38Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.2%1st Place
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9.18Drexel University1.270.0%1st Place
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13.75U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.07Old Dominion University2.270.1%1st Place
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5.35SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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12.62University of Virginia0.160.0%1st Place
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9.53SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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17.17Stevens Institute of Technology-2.320.0%1st Place
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7.29Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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10.67Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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15.01Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.35William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.73Columbia University0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bates | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Alec Chicoine | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 20.5% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John M. Joyce | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 4.7% |
| Jason Bankert | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Firth | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 1.5% |
| James Keegan | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bloomgren | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 11.3% | 72.8% |
| Anders Hudson | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 29.3% | 13.2% |
| Patrick Firth | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 3.4% |
| Michael Fagundo | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.