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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University2.27+2.40vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.44+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+1.75vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.86+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.31-1.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.15-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4San Diego State University2.2719.6%1st Place
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3.04Stanford University2.4425.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Southern California1.7110.4%1st Place
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4.38California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.4%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.3%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Berkeley0.864.5%1st Place
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5.19University of Hawaii1.318.9%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.9%1st Place
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5.5University of Washington1.156.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noah Nyenhuis | 19.6% | 20.1% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Chapman Petersen | 25.1% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Hudson Mayfield | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 3.5% |
Nicholas Mueller | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
Henry Boeger | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
Carsten Zieger | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 23.5% | 16.7% |
Everett McAvoy | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 7.2% |
Rigel Mummers | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 15.5% | 59.1% |
Oliver Nairn | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.