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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.06+3.92vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+6.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.67+0.58vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.03+1.18vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.070.00vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+2.49vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy2.20+0.54vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.53+1.44vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University1.49+0.59vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.00-4.82vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-5.30vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University0.59+0.17vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.20+0.08vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.82-2.47vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.45-0.61vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.83-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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3.58Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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5.18Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.54Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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9.44Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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9.59Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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5.18Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.7Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.17Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.08University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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14.39Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.6McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decesar | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guttorm Straume | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Ben Weigel | 21.5% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Taylor | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Millham | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| John Joseph | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Molly Haley | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 11.4% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 23.8% | 20.1% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 19.3% | 50.6% |
| Justin Cruanes | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.