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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of South Florida0.01+1.87vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.34-1.51vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.59-0.92vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.05-1.20vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.50-2.62vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-1.41-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87University of South Florida0.010.1%1st Place
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1.49Eckerd College2.340.6%1st Place
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3.08Jacksonville University0.590.1%1st Place
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3.8Embry-Riddle University0.050.1%1st Place
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3.38Florida State University0.500.1%1st Place
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5.39Rollins College-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Caron | 6.6% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 21.6% | 28.1% | 11.4% |
| Samuel Normington | 64.1% | 25.9% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Tino | 12.8% | 24.5% | 24.0% | 22.5% | 13.5% | 2.7% |
| Joseph Geller | 5.8% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 24.5% | 26.9% | 9.3% |
| Rafael Melendez | 9.4% | 19.9% | 24.9% | 21.8% | 17.1% | 6.9% |
| Chance Sweat | 1.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 14.2% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.