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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.34+0.48vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.01+1.86vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.59+0.16vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University0.05-0.17vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-1.41+0.40vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.50-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Eckerd College2.340.7%1st Place
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3.86University of South Florida0.010.0%1st Place
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3.16Jacksonville University0.590.1%1st Place
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3.83Embry-Riddle University0.050.1%1st Place
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5.4Rollins College-1.410.0%1st Place
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3.28Florida State University0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Normington | 66.5% | 22.9% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Caron | 4.9% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 21.0% | 27.7% | 11.8% |
| Benjamin Tino | 11.7% | 22.7% | 25.0% | 22.6% | 14.8% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Geller | 6.2% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 25.2% | 26.2% | 10.4% |
| Chance Sweat | 1.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 13.6% | 70.9% |
| Rafael Melendez | 9.7% | 21.3% | 25.2% | 22.9% | 17.2% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.