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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.01+2.75vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia2.39+3.08vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.57vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.34+2.64vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59-2.29vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.38-1.13vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.80-2.88vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45-3.20vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75College of Charleston3.010.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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4.57SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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6.64Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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2.71University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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4.87Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.12Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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4.8Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Killian | 15.8% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 11.1% | 3.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.4% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 1.3% |
| Nick Watts | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 38.0% | 11.9% |
| Sean Cornell | 32.9% | 21.8% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 1.7% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 12.9% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| John Silvestri | 10.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 2.1% |
| John O'Brien | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 9.7% | 78.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.