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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+3.95vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.80+2.33vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.57vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.45+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59-2.31vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.01-2.31vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia2.39-2.10vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.34-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.25-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.33Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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4.57SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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4.7Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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2.69University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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3.69College of Charleston3.010.2%1st Place
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4.9University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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6.71Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 1.8% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 9.1% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 1.2% |
| John Silvestri | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 33.1% | 24.1% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christophe Killian | 16.8% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| Nick Watts | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 38.2% | 13.7% |
| John O'Brien | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 10.1% | 78.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.