← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+2.16vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.05+1.44vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University1.00+0.48vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California0.90-0.72vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-0.70+1.33vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.61vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.11-2.36vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-0.39-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.0822.1%1st Place
-
3.44University of Hawaii1.0517.8%1st Place
-
3.48Stanford University1.0017.1%1st Place
-
3.28University of Southern California0.9020.8%1st Place
-
6.33University of California at San Diego-0.703.7%1st Place
-
5.39University of California at Berkeley-0.225.8%1st Place
-
4.64University of Washington0.119.2%1st Place
-
6.28Arizona State University-0.393.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Engebretson | 22.1% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 17.8% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Ava Cornell | 17.1% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 20.8% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 24.2% | 37.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 16.2% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 6.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 23.8% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.