← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.80+3.11vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.01+1.93vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida3.59-0.25vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.44vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University2.38-0.17vs Predicted
-
6University of Virginia2.39-1.13vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University1.34-0.22vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.45-3.18vs Predicted
-
10University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
-
3.93College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
-
2.75University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
-
4.44SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
-
4.83Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.87University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
-
6.78Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
-
4.82Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
8.47University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason D'Agostino | 14.0% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Killian | 12.5% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Sean Cornell | 31.0% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 1.5% |
| Nick Watts | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 38.9% | 14.1% |
| John Silvestri | 10.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 1.9% |
| John O'Brien | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 11.0% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.