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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+3.96vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.01+1.91vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+1.83vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.80+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59-2.28vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia2.39-1.19vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.34-1.21vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.50vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.91College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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4.83Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.01Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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2.72University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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4.81University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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6.79Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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4.5SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 1.3% |
| Christophe Killian | 11.8% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| John Silvestri | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 2.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 13.5% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 33.1% | 22.9% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Craven | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 1.4% |
| Nick Watts | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 38.7% | 14.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| John O'Brien | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 11.3% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.